An honest look at the religious right's influence on the Republican Party

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Pundits are coming out of the woodwork now to blame the religious right for the destruction of the Republican Party these last two election cycles. If one were to believe what they say, the Republican Party had spent the last eight years systematically enacting unpopular legislation and policy intended to appeal primarily to the religious right, but has it?

If California's prop. 8 is any indication, the gay marriage issue is not one that can be legitimately called exclusively a "religious right issue." Minorities, regardless of religious persuasion and ethnic background, tend to view gay marriage in an unfavorable light, with the numbers tending to range in the mid-50s to as high as 70% against measures supporting gay marriage, depending on the survey. The numbers clearly show that opposition to gay marriage is a widespread phenomenon that crosses over many demographics. In that sense, the Republicans were effectively appealing to mainstream views on gay marriage.

On the issue of abortion, the primary targets have been government funding of abortion, an issue that does spread over into other groups besides the religious right. The libertarian wing, despite being typically pro-choice is still against the public financing of abortion, and so targeting public financing of abortion is an issue on which most of the traditional factions, from Goldwater libertarian-conservatives, to Jerry Falwell social conservatives, can agree should not be public policy.

It's noteworthy that even when the Republicans controlled the entire body politic, they did not take concrete action against abortion-on-demand. If they were as fanatically attached to social conservative political goals as claimed, Kelo v. New London would have given them a very popular opportunity to wipe out much of the Supreme Court through impeachment. Unlike elected officials, according to Article III of the United States Constitution, a Republican-controlled Congress could file articles of impeachment over such a travesty of a ruling (as a means of packing the Supreme Court):

Section 1. The judicial power of the United States, shall be vested in one Supreme Court, and in such inferior courts as the Congress may from time to time ordain and establish. The judges, both of the supreme and inferior courts, shall hold their offices during good behaviour, and shall, at stated times, receive for their services, a compensation, which shall not be diminished during their continuance in office.
A ruling as corrupt, sophistic and as easily turned into a popular issue as Kelo v. New London would have provided the Republican Party with the perfect opportunity to dismantle most of the current Supreme Court and pack it with judges who would rule in ways amenable to Republican goals. Yet the Republicans made no noise about this because their intentions as a party have never been to get rid of the abortion issue because it is one of the few issues that they can always use to get votes, no matter how poorly they have otherwise performed. For the Republican Party, losing the abortion issue would be as bad as social welfare policies actually eliminating poverty and creating entrepreneurs by the tens of thousands among their base would be for the Democrats. Their weak opposition to abortion, limited primarily to cutting federal funding thereof, is the worst that most pro-choice voters can expect from them.

The real reason that the Republican Party lost so badly was that it managed to simultaneously betray its base on core issues while driving away new potential voters. It did this by being on the wrong side of a lot of issues ranging from immigration policy, to spending policies, to the War in Iraq. In the case of the latter, the incompetent, politically-charged handling of the occupation prolonged it well beyond what was reasonable. Had the Bush Administration listened to its generals, and made "the surge" part of the original invasion force, the Republicans probably would have gone into the 2006 elections with the occupation being steadily turned over to the Iraqis, with it formally ending by 2008. Of course, that sort of debacle is to be expected for an administration that tells veterans of our nation's ground forces to get stuffed in favor of civilian advisors whose closest experience with military matters is watching Saving Private Ryan.

Over the last eight years, the Republicans have done a splendid job of explaining to the electorate that they are to the Democrats, what Wal-Mart brand soft drinks are to Coke and Pepsi. It's no wonder that the public figured that the Democrats might be better at being Democrats, and that if they to choose between an imitation product and the real thing, that the real thing was preferable. If this sounds far-fetched, then consider the Republican domestic agenda of the last eight years:

  • More bureaucracy through the creation of TSA, which ended privatized airport security.
  • More federal control of education.
  • More federal financing of healthcare.
  • More federal subsidies for agriculture.
  • Bailouts for failing business.
They did not push for these things in the same way or to the same degree as the Democrats, but what matters here is that the Republicans did not actually do much of anything to make it obvious just how they were a real alternative to the Democrats. Combine that with the corruption under men like DeLay and Abramoff, and the choice was obvious. For minimal disruption, just vote in Democrats and hope for change on the issues like corruption that need fixing.

For a party that ran in 1994 on limited government grounds, the last eight years saw the Republicans systematically erode personal freedom. To limit it to the handful, nay, pittance of bones thrown to the religious right, is simply to miss the big picture here. 
Ron Paul is a good example of the fact that the religious right is not the faction that is primarily to blame for the Republican Party's collapse. It hasn't gotten much coverage in the media, but Ron Paul is actually a conservative Christian and votes accordingly on issues like gay marriage and abortion. Yet he also has been a fierce opponent of the profligate spending, police powers, conduct of the War in Iraq and many other issues that the Republican Party has been wrong on. There are many conservative Christians in the religious right who are like Ron Paul, but they are either ignored by the media or blamed for the actions of the whole party which includes neoconservatives, moderates and even people who are essentially liberals like Lincoln Chafee. They are the scapegoat of the combined errors of the Republican Party's "big tent."

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Precisely, thus the reason I did not support McCain* even as the lesser of two evils. The complete destruction of the Bush/Rove/Schwarzenegger GOP is not only the fastest way to reduce the number of Democratic parties by 1 to 1, it is the only way that voters will ever have a real choice.

The Liberals kinda sorta understood that McCain was one of them, just too old and too Republican to be spoken of highly. I suspect that will change now that he's no longer a threat. He's probably about two months from becoming a respected elder statesman.

But if one wants to really measure the strength of the religious right in the GOP, just count the number of genuine religious right candidates running for Prez and the number of primaries they collectively won.

Small peanuts indeed...

* I understand and respect your reasons for doing so, so this is not criticism, but illustration.

Well, let's be clear that I was not and am not a McCain supporter, but rather the reason I voted for him was that I am genuinely, on the gut level unnerved by a lot of Obama's supporters in a way that I have never experienced before. Like ESR, my "never again instinct" was triggered by them. Let's just say that I think that Obama has the potential to be as bad as, or worse than, Woodrow Wilson because of the fact that he is our first black President.

I agree. It is not the social issues, but the big government style. A Republican RE-Revolution is needed.

The 'religious right' was just a scarecrow erected to motivate the left to vote for them. The RR never really had any power beyond the mass of easily-deceived voters at the polls.

El B nailed it...if you want to see the real influence of the RR at the national level, just enumerate the number of candidates that the RNC forwards, or the number of social issues that the Republican party championed in the last 18 years.

The Rinos use the Socons as a scapegoat whenever the RINOs fail. The Socons also serve the purpose of scaring some Libertarians into accepting the RINOs for which the Tarians get zip.

The Standard Reaganite Conservative is good on values, defense, and money. This is the Three-legged Conservative. He is generally a Social Conservative.

The Standard Conservative needs to be at the helm of the party, and the Libertarians need to be at their right hand with the RINOs given the choice of the bottom of the table, or the door out.

The Standard Conservative positions, when espoused by a Happy Warrior especially, are the popular choices in the vast majority of cases. The so-called 'fiscal conservatives' who might be that, and might be the tools of big business say our problem is that we did not emphasize A and B which are popular. Instead we emphasized D and C which are popular. In truth, we should hit them all hard, and with sincerity.

Your suspicions of pro-life being used make a little too much sense.

And the notion of the great opportunity lost over Kelo (and that outraged everyone left and right) makes me want to weep.

I am however, not willing to read out the National Defense group, the Hawks, from the R party. Imagine a circle with three smaller circles partially overlapping (basic set theory stuff). The larger center circle is the Standard Conservatives. The other three smaller circles are Libertarian, National Defense, and Communitarian. At the outer extremes of these circles you'll run into people who have very, very little in common with Standard Conservatives.

The Standard Three-legged Conservative wants to win, and so he doesn't kick out a leg unless that leg absolutely forces him to do so. He might be able to win with two legs, but three is so much more easier.

So we come to the War.

1. Bush could have done better, a lot better. Yeah. So could Lincoln. Its the nature of war.
2. Have you read Wretchard's Three Conjectures or any of Pournelle's ARM series?

The Standard Conservative needs to be at the helm of the party, and the Libertarians need to be at their right hand with the RINOs given the choice of the bottom of the table, or the door out.

Well unfortunately, there is a lot of bad blood between these two thanks to the last eight years of the Socons getting a lot of good lip service and a few bones thrown to them from the Republican delegation to Congress and the Bush Administration, while the libertarian wing has been savagely attacked from all sides. The neocons rightly fear the libertarian-conservative wing, since it's the true right wing of the party, and the social conservatives consider many libertarian positions to be Godless and not even worth debating anymore. Furthermore, most social conservatives today have no use for intellectual men of the right like Bill Buckley who came to realize that marijuana was not only not devil weed, but that outlawing it was disastrous for the right.

It doesn't help things that the social conservatives have blinders on. The only social issues they care about today, by and large, are abortion and gay marriage. They have no time for things like protecting property rights as a moral issue, seeking a fairer, more just legal system and such. They haven't realized that the scope of the loss of morality is much deeper and broader than it would first appear, and that focusing on two issues threatens to marginalize them as a two-trick political pony that sees no moral social issues outside of abortion and gay marriage worth fighting legislative battles over.

I'm not really envisioning three-legs I guess. Its more of the idea that there is a big central circle and three smaller supporting circles.

This clarifies the power relationship.

I think the cause of the 'blinders' is constrained ambition. Socons or Standard Conservatives need to be more ambitious. And Tarians should support that because most of what a Socon is going to want will be what a Tarian wants, and much of the rest will be neutral, and only a very small bit will be negative.

Tarians on the other hand seem to have no problem with ambition. In fact, they seem way overly ambitious every day in every case. They should teach some of this grand vision stuff to the Socons.

I've been advocating for Fusionism for some time, and much of what I've seen has been Tarian prejudgice against Socons. After getting attacked with an excess of venom and an excessof times, a Socon might be forgiven for washing his hands of Tarians.

I don't because I think thisis an obvious play to be made.

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